Note: This article is part of a series on risk areas that internal audit teams should consider for their risk assessment and audit planning for and throughout 2025. Other articles in the series cover risk trends in specific industries and more broadly:
As financial services industry professionals navigate complexities throughout the year ahead, internal audit functions will be pivotal in identifying and mitigating a spectrum of critical risks. Regulatory compliance remains a top priority, and it demands rigorous oversight to confirm adherence to evolving standards and prevent legal repercussions.
Simultaneously, credit risk management is essential as economic fluctuations affect borrower solvency and portfolio performance. Market volatility presents ongoing challenges that require agile strategies to adapt to changing conditions, and managing liquidity is crucial to sustaining stability amid financial uncertainty.
Furthermore, the rapid advancement of technology introduces opportunities and cybersecurity challenges that require vigilant monitoring and strategic implementation. The confluence of these risk categories underscores the vital role of internal audit in safeguarding organizational resilience and integrity within the financial services sector.
Regulatory compliance remains a critical area of focus for the financial services industry. Organizations must address the many regulations covering fair lending and consumer protections, including the Fair Credit Reporting Act and overdraft protection programs. Maintaining compliance in these areas helps mitigate legal and financial risks and upholds consumer trust and competitive integrity.
With more than a dozen redlining enforcement actions in the previous 12-month period, including banks and credit unions of all sizes, fair lending remains high on the priority list for regulatory agencies. Financial services organizations and fintechs remain in the crosshairs of regulatory agencies due to a variety of consumer concerns and complaints that have arisen due to lack of a formal programs, deficient testing or monitoring, and data analysis exceptions. Organizations should conduct analysis of client loan application penetration and have an understanding of whether there is any potential redlining risk. An evaluation of the program pillars should be high on the priority list of compliance and risk officers.
The accuracy of data reported to the credit reporting agencies is a continued focus for regulators, often prompted by consumer complaints. Inaccurate reporting to credit reporting agencies can have a direct impact on loan eligibility, the type of loan, and the amount of the loan. Many class-action lawsuits have been filed against financial services organizations based on these issues.
The financial services industry faces heightened challenges in managing credit, asset quality, and refinancing risks in 2025. Increasing credit risks, as emphasized by recent regulatory reports, such as the fall 2024 Office of the Comptroller of the Currency’s “Semiannual Risk Perspective,” point to pressing concerns spurred by elevated interest rates, inflation, and economic softening. These factors pose significant challenges for borrowers, particularly those involved in commercial and industrial sectors, commercial real estate, and agriculture.
Various regulators have highlighted increasing credit risks over the last few years. Elevated interest rates and inflation have added strains, especially for borrowers who are refinancing debt that originated in periods with lower interest rates. Reduced commercial real estate values – which have been affected by lower demand and higher cap rates – add to these challenges.
Pockets of the economy that have experienced some softening (especially those dependent on general consumers) present some challenges to commercial and industrial borrowers, especially those that are highly leveraged. Agriculture borrowers also are beginning to face new problems, as values of many commodities remain flat or even decline.
High interest rates through 2024, offset with rate cuts in the last part of the year, created a volatile environment for banks that affected their profitability and operational strategies. Managing interest rate risk is critical, as it affects everything from net interest margins to asset valuations and funding costs.
The volatile economic environment in 2025 could increase uncertainty regarding interest rates and deposit stability. While dealing with higher interest rates in 2024, banks also faced higher costs of funding, an inverted yield curve, higher competition for deposits, and compressed net interest margins. Fluctuations in interest rates can have a significant impact on banks' profitability, asset valuations, and funding costs.
A bank’s net interest margin (NIM) is highly sensitive to changes in interest rates. When interest rates rise, banks can face challenges in maintaining their NIM as funding costs increase. Conversely, when interest rates decline, banks can experience compression in their NIM due to lower loan yields. Further, banks often have a maturity mismatch between their assets and liabilities. Changes in interest rates can lead to repricing mismatches if interest rates on assets and liabilities reset at different times.
Additionally, banks often hold complex financial instruments, such as derivatives and structured products, which are sensitive to changes in interest rates. These instruments can introduce additional risks and complexities in managing interest rate risk.
Despite the recent rate cuts, the relative high interest rates combined with the credit issues previously noted might affect the creditworthiness of borrowers and the performance of loan portfolios, which potentially could lead to higher default rates.
In financial services, effective liquidity risk management is critical as regulatory bodies enforce stringent requirements to maintain stability amid market volatility. With the landscape for 2025 projected to remain uncertain due to potential economic shocks and geopolitical tensions, banks must strategically manage their liquidity positions to withstand stress events and minimize systemic risks.
Regulatory authorities are placing increased emphasis on liquidity risk management in the banking sector. Banks are required to comply with stringent liquidity regulations, such as liquidity coverage ratio and net stable funding ratio, which aim to ensure banks maintain sufficient liquidity buffers to withstand stress events.
Meanwhile, financial markets are expected to remain volatile and uncertain in 2025. Economic shifts, global political developments, and other unforeseen events can quickly disrupt funding markets and affect banks' liquidity positions.
The interconnected nature of financial markets and financial services organizations can amplify liquidity risks. A liquidity crisis in one organization or market can quickly spread to others, leading to systemic risks, as happened in March 2023. Banks need to maintain diversified funding sources to reduce reliance on a single funding channel.
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